Monday, September 21, 2009

Time to consider purchasing property in South Africa


I know at a time like this it sounds crazy purchasing property in South Africa? At a time when prices are falling rapidly, the economy is struggling and many economists are quietly softening their previous estimates of recovery. Ladies and gentlemen it may be a shocker but yes it is time to consider purchasing property in South Africa.
So why would you consider purchasing property? The truth is that that we are finally seeing realistic prices returning to the property market. Now one doesn’t have to pay a presidents random to buy a home in a good location here in South Africa.
Think about it the rates of decline reported are understating the extent at which prices are falling, while ignoring how a strong buyer can negotiate a discount onto a seller. Consider that since 70% of home loan applications are being rejected by banks currently therefore fewer buyers in the market and that per Economics means decline in market demand causes market prices to fall.


Buyers


Individual Buyers are now thinking differently & entering the market with a different approach which is just wonderful especially for them. Gone are the days of talking about how much capital appreciation yesterday’s buyers were looking forward to getting for their property in however many years, how they repeated that property can only go up, how you’d better get in now or you’ll miss out and be cursed forever. Instead the logic for individuals now buying is, people want to buy a place to enjoy living in it. If people are going to buy a property as an investment they’re after those increasingly juicy rental yields, which is far stronger justification for investing rather than living on the prayer of impossible rates of capital gain, thoughts & prayers like that certainly belong in the dark ages.
True, the property prices declines of 10% a year still seem bland when compared against the huge 40% increases in previous years and many still feel shut out.
It’s admittedly hard to judge just when the market will bottom out, let alone return to positive growth: especially seeing how the economists who were closest to calling the market correctly were actually those who didn’t try calling it at all. So declines and below-inflation growth may be the norm for years to come, but despite that individuals are committed to buying and the justification goes back to the reason why as individuals one would buy a property in the first place – namely to live in it keeping in mind that the strength buyers enjoy now will also not last forever.


In Conclusion


Yes, property itself remains a good investment in the long term for individuals provided it’s in the right location, they’re not buying at the peak of a bubble and they’re not leveraging themselves to the limit on a property they can’t afford without any support against potential financial shocks. Many did just that and there are some still hoping for the prices to quickly return to what they paid at the peak of the bubble. That may take a while longer than they’d like unless there is the addition of some considerably unpleasant inflation into the economy, which would ultimately be unpleasant for everyone.

Tuesday, August 18, 2009

South African Property Market – What’s Happening, kwenzakalani?

The South African Property Market is hard to define, turbulent at times; and yet in the long run, proven to be astoundingly prosperous for the future investment.
Let’s have a look at some of the contributing factors that are forcing this market to be in such a state of flux….
By far the most prominent factors are that of the National Credit Act, our sea- saw like inflationary figures & the dark cloud that is this current economic climate.Although these factors are certainly the harsh realities of the day, you will probably need to look at more than just those to have a better understanding about what is happening in the property industry in South Africa at present.


Let’s take a look at the current Economic snap shot

Although at times we tend to think that we are the only country battening down the hatches & weathering this global economic storm, you will find that South Africa is in much the same ocean as the rest of the world. Countries such the USA, the UK and Australia have all been reporting varying degrees of reduction in property pricing growth. Although the slowdown in South Africa started taking place well before the US mortgage market crisis, resulting in a confusion and disturbance which has somewhat contributed to a steeper drop in our property pricing growth during October, November and December last year.

The South African Economy: In spite of economical growth, our inflation rate has remained above (and sometimes well-above) the 6% edge since April last year, with soaring oil prices, quoted as some of the culprits. In order to bring inflation back down to within the targeted range, the Reserve Bank tightened up on their financial policies and increased the repo rate.

Through the Investor’s eyes

A Buyer’s Market: 2008 hailed the return of the Year of Good Bargains. With 2009 being the year of re-strengthening and growth, still abundant with good deals to be sought.
As a result of the existing economic factors, the supply of property is greater than the demand. This means that you are likely to find yourself in a position to drive really good bargains what is of essence is that the property is in the right location and that there are no land claims pending.Where you choose to battle also holds true in the property industry. According to the experts, there are some property classes that could produce excellent yields in the coming years for those investors with the insight to board the bandwagon early enough.


In Conclusion

2009 could see the birth of a brand new cycle. Until then, it will probably get a whole lot worse before it gets better. If you can ride out the storm and use the window of opportunity it presents to your advantage rewards that may be waiting when the skies eventually do clear.